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Want to Do Something about Lockdown? Stop Getting Tested

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By now it is clear that the government’s response to Covid is manifestly political. Although this government talks about “listening to experts” it does anything but. When you commit to listening to experts you need to honestly listen to all experts rather than cherry picking those that simply support the path you are already on. There is a vast volume of scientific evidence and offshore experience that calls into question fundamental tenets of the Covid19 pandemic but also this government’s response to it. As just two small examples see The Great Barrington Declaration and Data About Covid19 – excellent data backed responses to Covid. Ardern’s political future is inextricably tied to Covid and so the economic and health response is now likewise political. Over 1.5 million New Zealanders remains under effective house arrest (involving the complete removal of our fundamental human rights to freedom of movement and association) because Arden and her government completely botched the vac...

Predictions about NZ’s Covid19 Future Proved Correct

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Over two weeks ago in an article I published on June 3 rd (see below) I predicted that New Zealand could not keep Covid19 out. Those predictions are now proving 100% correct.  Barely a week into level 1 and with the borders supposedly closed we have: 6 people absconding from a funeral 2 women taking a road trip from Auckland to Wellington and creating over 300 “close contacts” Revelations that testing is not even mandatory in quarantine. As I outlined it was almost certain that Covid19 would return to New Zealand. Even with traffic across the border reduced to less than 5% there are still too many movements and Covid19 is too contagious to viably prevent every single case of re-entry. That high probability was made inevitable by the incompetence of Ardern and her government. The government is now scrambling to contain the outbreak at both a health and public relations level . The latest outbreak however raises the much broader issue I discussed in detail below. Even if we so...

Both of New Zealand's Post Covid19 Futures are Bad

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After ten days of no new Covid19 cases many New Zealanders are likely to be feeling a mixture of relief and complacency. The country dodged a bullet - now there is just the journey back to normality.   However for those prepared to look honestly at the challenges facing New Zealand a return to normality is neither simple nor guaranteed. In fact, there are strong arguments that New Zealand’s much triumphed “eradication” may have instead painted the country into corner. At this point in time two likely futures radiate out in front of New Zealand and neither is pretty. There are others of course, mostly involving heroic suspensions of reality by academics such as Michael Lee who prove just how far removed from reality our tertiary institutions have become. Instead let’s focus on the two most probable.   Future 1: Covid19 is not eliminated and breaks out or returns New Zealand’s drastic seven week lock down at levels 3 and 4 was effective in the same way that burning...

Lock Down Will Cause Thousands of Additional Deaths in NZ

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The unintended consequences of even a short lock down will be thousands of additional deaths in New Zealand over the short, medium and long term. The data is already there.  So why is Ardern drawing it out? When the government compelled New Zealand into lock down on March 24 th most New Zealanders, desperate for any kind of decisive action, were relieved. Whether you believe the government’s decision to lock down the country was justified (I argue here and here it was not) the unintended consequences of even a short lock down, in terms of deaths, illness and economic damage are piling up at a truly frightening rate. First, there is strong evidence accumulating overseas that lock downs have caused an immediate, dramatic spike in deaths, not from Covid19 but from other causes such as suicide and delayed emergency admissions. In the UK a report based on NHS data found that there are an additional 2,000 deaths per week caused by the Covid-19 lock down rather than the...

Hypocrisy - Exhibit B

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"Elimination - I don't think it means what you think it means"

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Hypocrisy - Exhibit A

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The government ignored experts & data opposing a lock down

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Data and basic maths prove Arden and Bloomfield were wrong to lock down New Zealand. UPDATE: This post has now had over 20,000 views. PLEASE share on FaceBook, Twitter etc with as many people as possible. We need to call out the fact that this government has wrecked our country and economy by completely over-reacting and ignoring data that didn't fit with their narrative.   Thank you,  Alex Davis. On March 17 th     eight days before New Zealand entered lock down Professor John Ioannidis, one of the world’s most cited medical researchers published an article warning that the world was rushing into a series of panic stricken responses to Covid-19 on the basis of data that was “ utterly unreliable .” Time is now proving Professor Ioannidis correct. There has been an endless sea of New Zealand “experts” on Covid-19 so it is worth establishing Professor Ioannidis’ credentials for the simple reason that he stands head and shoulders above thos...

The Elimination ‘Strategy’ = a Bullet to the Stomach for NZ

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UPDATE: This article has now had over 126K views - that's roughly 2.5% of the entire country - a huge achievement. Please keep sharing this article and the other articles on this blog, particularly my latest article explaining how the government ignored data that demonstrated we did not need to lock down. I earn nothing from these articles and I am not affiliated to any political party or organisation. I am however deeply opposed to any government that cynically exploits a crisis and the public's panic to enact decisions that destroy lives and livelihoods and advance their own ideologically driven agendas.    As of Monday 27th April 6pm this article hit 102,00 views. That's 40,000 additional views in 24 hours.  It's also 19,000 more than the petition #closeNZ ( https://bit.ly/2KEe4x2)  that led to the government's panicked decision to implement the lock down in the first place - without any understanding of the economic or long term health consequences or...